Moody’s slashes India’s GDP growth rate to three-decade low of 2.5%

Moody’s Investors Service on Friday slashed its estimate of India’s GDP growth rate to almost three-decade low of 2.5 per cent during 2020 calendar year from an earlier estimate of 5.3 per cent on account of the rising economic cost of the pandemic.

Moody’s said, at the 2020 estimated growth rate, a sharp fall in incomes in India is likely, further weighing on domestic demand and the pace of recovery in 2021.

“In India, credit flow into the economy already remains severely hampered because of severe liquidity constraints in the banking and non-banking financial sectors,” it said.

If Moody’s projections come out to be correct, China, from where spread, will overtake India in 2020, as it is projected to grow at 3.3 per cent in the current calendar year. Also, China’s growth rate will be higher than that of India in 2021.

China’s is projected to grow 6 per cent next year, while India at 5.8 per cent.

Before this, India clocked lower growth rate at 1.1 per cent in 1991-92.

GDP likely to grow just 2% in 2020-21: Icra

Despite the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) massive actions to spur the economy, India’s gross domestic product (GDP) is likely to contract by 4.5 per cent in the April-June 2020 quarter and will rise by only 2 per cent in 2020-21 on the impact, according to domestic rating agency Icra. While announcing a number of measures in the policy review, the RBI refrained from giving its estimate on both growth and inflation, saying things are fluid and rapidly changing.

Source link